Current Industry Performance


D
omestic mill activity is holding up well despite the flood of imports from China and
other countries. Based on results for the first three quarters, overall 2005 production and
shipment totals for US mills won’t be down all that much vis-à-vis year-earlier levels. Part, of
course, reflects continuing economic growth.

Even with Hurricane Katrina’s negative effects, the nation’s overall 2005 gross domestic
product advance is estimated at around 3 percent. This, accompanied by still-growing employment and
incomes, is helping keep consumer spending on apparel and other textile products strong enough to
keep the domestic textile industry afloat.

Analysts at economic forecasting firm Global Insight see only a 4.8-percent decline in basic
textile mill revenues for 2005. And when it comes to the textile product sector, the forecasting
group anticipates a fractional 0.6-percent gain.

Prices, too, haven’t been faring badly and clearly haven’t experienced the catastrophic
tumble that many predicted following the junking of quotas this past January. Indeed, using Global
Insight’s latest projections, 2005 textile mill, mill product and apparel quotes are all seen
ending up within 1 percent or so of their 2004 averages.

bfchart_Copy


Productivity Factor

Nor are current demand and price trends the only factors behind our continuing viable textile
industry. Much of the domestic mills’ ability to stay afloat in today’s highly competitive global
markets stems from continuing productivity gains – as firms continue to modernize and take
advantage of new technological breakthroughs. A recently released government report covering the
16-year period from 1987 to 2003 finds average output per textile worker rose 3.9 percent
annually – with fiber/yarn/thread and fabric mills racking up even more impressive 5.2-percent
and 4.4-percent increases, respectively. Efficiency gains in the domestic apparel sector over this
same period aren’t all that bad either – averaging out near 3.1 percent a year.

Combine this with very modest wage gains, and there actually are some fractional declines in
both textile mill and apparel unit labor costs over this same 16-year time span. Productivity and
unit labor cost performance in these two areas has been as good as or even a bit better than those
noted in many other domestic manufacturing sectors.


More Efficiency Gains Ahead

Productivity gains show every sign of continuing. This can best be seen by looking at employment
and output trends over the last 12 months. Domestic mill production over this period declined by
only about 2.3 percent. On the other hand, employment in the combined basic textile mill and mill
product sectors was off about 4.5 percent. Implication: Output per worker over the past year has
again risen – probably somewhere in the order of 2 percent. This trend is expected to continue
into 2006 as domestic mills continue to invest in new, increasingly efficient equipment and
processes. This willingness to spend on new world-class equipment also is confirmed by the fact
that overall textile mill capacity – despite the spate of recent mill closures – hasn’t
really declined all that much when compared to the levels prevailing just one year ago.


Lingering Trade Uncertainties

There’s still no final answer on how the US-China dispute over textile and apparel imports will
be resolved, but a compromise – limiting future Chinese shipments – is virtually certain.
On the other hand, putting specific import numbers on any such agreement isn’t easy. Odds would
seem to favor a final pact along the lines of the recent deal with the European Union – one
that limits future Beijing-to-EU shipment gains to specified category-by-category percentages. Any
such agreement would clearly rule out any repeat of our huge import gains of recent months. Another
plus: A US-China deal would also assure our continuing exports of cotton, other textile raw
materials and textile/apparel manufacturing equipment to Chinese manufacturers.

Finally, an agreement would return some stability and predictability to an industry that has
been in a constant state of turmoil for nearly a year now.


October 2005

Fenner Dunlop Worldwide Orders SMIT Weaving Machines

Fenner Dunlop Worldwide, England, recently placed an order for 12 GS900 rapier weaving machines
from Italy-based SMIT Textile. With twelve facilities in eight countries, Fenner Dunlop
manufactures a range of conveyor belting for many different industries and applications from coal
mining and power plants to package handling and process automation. The company’s facilities in the
United States Georgia Duck Conveyor Belting, Scottdale, Ga.; and Scandura Conveyor Belting,
Charlotte already use 21 SMIT looms for their operations.

fennersmit

The new machines are destined for Georgia Duck Conveyor Belting’s facilities. Delivery has
commenced and will be completed by the end of November. The GS900 representing the evolution of
SMITs G6300 rapier weaving machine has gained wide acceptance and a strong foothold in the
technical fabrics market, according to SMIT. The machines mechatronic solutions offer enhanced
versatility and efficiency. The company reports it also offers excellent insertion rates, and its
compact construction gives it a sturdy frame that guarantees vibration-free running, even at high
speeds.

October 2005

Spotlight On Turkey


Hightex 2005 attracted visitors from Eastern Europe, the Middle and Near East, and North
Africa.



T
he

premiere edition of the Istanbul
International Technical Textiles and Nonwoven Trade Fair (Hightex 2005) recently was held at the
new Istanbul World Trade Center. Organized by Turkey-based Teknik Ltd., the show attracted 250
exhibitors — 130 of them from abroad — and almost 9,000 visitors from 50 countries — including
7,507 from Turkey and 1,413 from such regions as Eastern Europe, the Middle and Near East, and
North Africa, among others. The large number of Turkish visitors from 59 different cities was
evidence of the local demand for information about these growing sectors.

Many attendees said this event was the right place for people who are participating in the
conventional textiles sector but are seeking alternative ways to invest.


A Growing Sector

Nonwovens and technical textiles used
globally in diverse applications such as health care, construction, automotive, apparel,
agriculture and packaging — many of which have impressive growth rates — drew the interest of
visitors.

According to organizers, when increasing competition in the nonwovens and technical textiles
sectors is considered, the quality of exhibitors and visitors at Hightex clearly proved Turkey can
become an important producer and market for these sectors.

Regarded as an indication of movement in Turkey from traditional textiles towards technical
textiles — production in which high technology is utilized — the exhibition was perceived by both
exhibitors and visitors as a good opportunity to increase awareness of the nonwovens sector, share
information, improve trade in world nonwovens markets and increase profitability.


Advanced Technology

“There are entrepreneurs in Turkey
who participate in industry with this technology,” said Necip Güney, sales and marketing director,
Teknik Ltd. “They recycle the waste bottles and garment waste and, after processing, they provide
them to the textile and garment industry. We have gathered these native industrialists with the
leading foreign technology and industry giants in our exhibition.

“Our aim was to join the nonwoven and technical textiles sectors, which are developing
rapidly and becoming the focus of investment, with the technology developers in America, Europe and
other centers all over the world. We believe that new opportunities and new customers will emerge
in this, the world’s fastest-developing market,” Güney added.

Ümit Vural, director of operations, Teknik Ltd., said Teknik is very proud of organizing
Hightex 2005 following the International Textile Machinery Exhibition (ITM), held last year in
Istanbul, which he said is among the most important and largest international exhibitions in the
world. He added that having exhibitors at this global level makes Hightex even more essential.

 


Hightex Activities

The 2nd International Technical
Textiles Congress, held concurrently with Hightex with the cooperation of the Dokuz Eylül
University Textile Engineering Department, brought together foreign and local researchers and
companies working in the field.

The congress aimed to guide textile industrialists currently producing or planning to
produce in this field. “Smart” clothes; high-performance fibers; packaging, industrial, protective
and automotive textiles; as well as filtration, were discussed.

The Innovation Relay Center-Ege held a series of Cooperation and Technology Relay meetings
during the show in an effort to bring together machinery manufacturers, customers and partners in
the European Union.

The Hightex 2005 opening ceremony featured Turkish government officials and leading textile
representatives.


Future Events

Turkey is of growing interest as an
exhibition site, as it links Europe and Asia, providing access to strong markets in Turkey, Iran,
Syria and surrounding regions.

Hightex organizers continue to make a diligent effort to promote Istanbul as an attractive
location for textile exhibitions — one that offers good value to exhibitors and visitors alike and
an opportunity to participate in a growing market.

Hightex will be held every other year, with the next show scheduled for 2007. The next
edition of ITM will take place June 27 through July 2, 2006, at the CNR Expo Fair and Congress
Centre in Istanbul.



October 2005

Farm Trade Proposals Concern Cotton Growers

A pledge by US Trade Representative
Rob Portman to make “deep cuts” in US farm tariffs and other subsidies has the US cotton industry
on edge. At a recent meeting in Geneva with trade ministers from some of the world’s largest
countries, Portman promised major concessions in order to get the Doha Round of trade
liberalization talks back on track. While urging other developed countries to match the US
proposals, Portman said developing countries also must be prepared to offer concessions
commensurate with their ability to contribute to the cause of free trade

Woods Eastland, president of the National Cotton Council, said Portman’s proposals represent
a “very aggressive stance” and would require significant cuts in US farm programs if agreed to by
members of the World Trade Organization (WTO) and Congress. Warning that there must be “
corresponding gains in market access,” Eastland said, “The troubling aspect for the US cotton
industry is that China – the world’s largest cotton market – continues to seek special treatment in
the WTO so it can avoid market access concessions.” In addition, he said, the US cotton industry
cannot allow countries with highly competitive agricultural products to avoid making concessions “
simply based on their self-declaration as a developing country.”

Regardless of what happens, he said, it is imperative Congress provides programs that result
in “an effective safety net” for US cotton producers.



October 2005


Chilewich Adds To Plynyl Line

Chilewich LLC, New York City, has
added 18-inch modular tile to its line of Plynyl woven vinyl floor coverings.

Plynyl Tiles feature the company’s Basketweave style woven vinyl fabric face, which has been
re-engineered to have sharp, clean tile edges; and a backing comprising a two-layered vinyl cushion
and an intermediary nonwoven stabilizing layer. Available in eight colorways, the tiles may be
installed in either a uniform or a random configuration. They have 20-percent recycled content and
are themselves recyclable as well.


tiles



Chilewich also now offers Solid Shag tufted vinyl floor covering in three colors — black,
gunmetal and lime — that may be used independently or in coordination with striped combinations in
the Plynyl Shag collection launched last year.

October 2005

Researchers Develop Anti-Counterfeiting Nanofiber

Researchers at North Carolina State University (NCSU), Raleigh, and the University of Puerto Rico,
Mayaguez, have created a nanoscale fiber that can be incorporated into a textile or a paper
document to verify its authenticity. The alien nanofiber could be used by branded textile
manufacturers to protect against piracy by unlicensed competitors. Using an electrospinning
process, Juan Hinestroza, Ph.D., assistant professor of textile engineering, chemistry and science,
NCSU; and Carlos Rinaldi, Ph.D., assistant professor of chemical engineering, University of Puerto
Rico, have developed the nanofiber, which has a diameter of approximately 150 nanometers. The fiber
contains smaller nanoparticles with a magnetic, electrical or optical signature that can be
identified by a scanning device.

“These fibers can be easily incorporated [using] existing textile manufacturing facilities,”
Hinestroza said. Hinestroza and Rinaldi have been assisted in their work by graduate student Carola
Barrera and high school student Aldo Briano. The research is supported by a National Science
Foundation Nanoscale Exploratory Research grant and by the NC State Nanotechnology Steering
Committee.

October 2005

US-Chinese Textile Negotiations Break Down

US and Chinese trade negotiations once again have failed to reach agreement on a comprehensive
textile trade agreement, and the two sides seem to be further apart than ever. An impasse has been
reached on the duration of any agreement, the rate of quota growth and the base that would be used
in determining quota growth. The United States is pressing for an agreement that would extend until
2008, when the authority to use a safeguard mechanism to impose quotas when there is market
disruption expires. The United States reportedly is willing to permit annual growth of 10 to 14
percent, while on the other hand, China wants an agreement modeled after one it reached earlier
this year with the European Union. That agreement runs only through 2007, and calls for quota
growth limits of 8 to 12 percent.

As the talks broke down, US Special Textile Negotiator David Spooner said, We have not come
to an agreement that meets the needs of our domestic manufacturers and retailers. He said the
overall goal of the United States is to reach a longer-term solution that will permit greater
stability in textile and apparel trade. He noted the US government has been using its rights under
China’s World Trade Organization accession agreement to invoke safeguards in cases of market
disruption or the threat of market disruption and we will continue to do so as appropriate.

A coalition of US textile and apparel manufacturers and labor, which has filed more than
two-dozen safeguard petitions, commended the US textile negotiators for their continuing efforts to
reach a fair agreement, while claiming that China’s continuing intransigence makes it increasingly
difficult to reach an agreement before the end of the year. Cass Johnson, president of the National
Council of Textile Organizations, said China has returned to a position of delay and no compromise
by insisting on terms of an agreement that were impossible for the US government to accept. Auggie
Tantillo, executive director of the American Manufacturing Trade Action Coalition, charged that
China’s failure to negotiate reasonably ensures there will be an atmosphere of uncertainty for
anyone seeking to import textile goods into the United States.

Both textile manufacturers and importers have been hoping for an agreement that would reduce
that uncertainty, but at the moment that appears to be out of reach, and no date has been set to
resume negotiations.

October 2005

NEPOM Patrol Boats Use Dyneema® In Armor System

The Netherlands-based DSM Dyneema
will supply Dyneema® UD unidirectional cross-ply composite as part of the armoring solution for
patrol boats operated by the Sea Police National System (NEPOM) division of the Brazilian Federal
Police. Approximately 11 armored boats will be built to patrol the port of Rio de Janeiro, with the
first having been delivered earlier this year. Deliveries will continue through 2008.

Brazil-based AXIA Blindagens designed the armor system, which comprises Dyneema and a steel
plate. The system offers a lightweight solution that meets National Institute of Justice Level 3
criteria for protection from multi-hit impact.

“[T]he tough environment that these patrol boats will face brought us to select the best
material both from the ballistic viewpoint and the excellent resistance against salt water and
[ultraviolet] light,” said Franco Giaffone, president and senior partner, AXIA Blindagens.

October 2005

Chinese Imports Soared In First Half Of This Year


A
lthough textile and apparel imports from all sources in the first half of this year rose
by a relatively modest 10 percent over the comparable period of 2004, Chinese imports were up by 47
percent, including a 125-percent increase in apparel. China currently accounts for 29 percent of US
imports of textiles and apparel.

Some of the increase was at the expense of North American Free Trade Agreement partners
Mexico and Canada, with Mexico showing a decline of 4 percent and Canada a drop of 7 percent,
including 22 percent in apparel trade. China’s growth also appeared to be at the expense of Hong
Kong, Taiwan and South Korea — each of which showed declines in apparel exports in the range of 33
percent to 37 percent, and similar declines in textile exports.

The Caribbean Basin countries showed a modest 7-percent increase, mostly in apparel; textiles
were off by 8 percent. Other Central American countries included in the recently approved Dominican
Republic-Central American Free Trade Agreement (DR-CAFTA) also showed a gain of 7 percent. Textile
trade officials expect a much larger increase once the free trade agreement has time to take
effect.


Europeans Have Problems Too

Although the European Union negotiated an agreement with China earlier this year placing quotas
with annual rates of growth ranging from 8 percent to 12.5 percent on 10 product categories through
2007, that agreement quickly ran into trouble. It seems China quickly overshipped many of the
products that were placed under quota.

Although EU Trade Commissioner Peter Mandelson said he supports the original agreement, he is
seeking some way to permit some of the stranded products to gain entry. European textile
manufacturers that are represented by the Brussels-based European Apparel and Textile Organization
(EURATEX) are strongly opposed to any changes in the original agreement. EURATEX President Filiep
Libeert said, “No one should claim that they were unaware of the risks involved in placing orders
for huge quantities of Chinese goods for delivery in 2005,” although he said his organization would
support an effort to resolve the problem providing it is done “within the framework of the original
agreement.”

Under a special agreement, about half of the embargoed goods will be permitted to enter above
and beyond the quotas, and the remaining 50 percent will be charged against 2006 quotas.

filip

Filiep Libeert, president, European Apparel and Textile Organization


Solutions To China Trade Problems Sought

Just about everyone involved — textile manufacturers, importers, retailers and governments — is
continuing to probe ways to resolve problems with US/China textile trade, but there clearly are no
easy answers. Importers are unanimous in their desire to get the respective governments to take the
steps necessary to ensure order and predictability to US/China trade. As one importer put it, “If
we place an order, we would like to know it can be delivered.”

Importers, who heaved sighs of relief when import quotas were removed last January, are
bitterly disappointed that some of the quotas have been restored and more are likely to come. They
say trade should not be restrained when there is no solid proof imports are disrupting the US
market, and they particularly would like to see import quotas end once and for all by 2008.

Above and beyond the quota issue, the Washington-based National Council of Textile
Organizations (NCTO) has a wish list that it hopes would lead to more of a permanent solution to
problems with Chinese trade. Saying that quotas are at best a “temporary fix,” the NCTO is seeking
action from the US and Chinese governments to combat what textile manufacturers view as an array of
unfair trade practices. These include such things as currency manipulation, subsidization of
industries, the use of non-performing loans to fund textile expansion, tax holidays and subsidized
freight and energy costs.

The NCTO cites United Nations data that show China’s exports of apparel are 58 percent below
the average for the rest of the world. There is not much hope at this time the Chinese government
will take any meaningful actions to control its export trade. It apparently will act only when it
feels enough pressure from the US government, importers and textile manufacturers to bring about
orderly trade.

There is little hope China’s recent increase of its yuan against the dollar will have much of
an impact on what US manufacturers say is as much as a 40-percent subsidy for Chinese imports.
Legislation to impose a 27-percent tax on Chinese imports to help offset that subsidy is not likely
to be enacted. The best hope for US textile manufacturers lies in greater use of US antidumping and
countervailing duty laws that permit the US government to impose punitive tariffs on goods when it
can be shown they are being illegally dumped on the US market. At the present time, those duties
cannot be used against non-market economies, but there is legislation in Congress that would change
that.

While the antidumping and countervailing duty process is expensive and time-consuming, it has
been used with some success in the past with market economies.

The NCTO also reported it will seek relief through the World Trade Organization (WTO), which
has the power to address illegal subsidies and other unfair trade practices. That process also is
time-consuming and uncertain, but it has worked on occasion.

The NCTO also will ask the WTO to extend the right to use a safeguard mechanism to impose
quotas on Chinese imports beyond 2008, when that authority currently is due to expire.

With the US government continuing to pursue bilateral and regional free trade agreements, the
textile association warned it will oppose any agreement that permits non-participating countries to
benefit from the special treatment and greater access to the US market under the free trade
agreements.

The NCTO remains hopeful the recently negotiated DR-CAFTA will divert Chinese production to
this hemisphere, where it will be necessary to use some US-made textiles in order to qualify for
the duty-free benefits.


Federal Trade Commission Clarifies Thread Count Rule

In response to a recent request from the Boston-based National Textile Association (NTA), the
Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has issued a statement clarifying the way it expects textile
manufacturers to measure thread count in their advertising and labels. The request was made because
NTA member companies felt some companies are providing thread counts that are misleading. The FTC
agreed, and in its opinion said some manufacturers have inflated their thread counts by counting
each individual ply. In its statement, the FTC said that could be deceptive and misleading to
consumers because many consumers associate a high thread count with high-quality products.

karl“Thread
count is the way many shoppers compare bedding products,” said Karl Spilhaus, president, NTA. “This
clarification by the FTC will help ensure consumers can shop with confidence when products are
labeled and marketed properly.”

The FTC said that if a manufacturer or retailer identifies a product manufactured with plied
yarns, the label and advertising should state, for example, “300 thread count made using two-ply
yarns.” To label a such a product as “600 thread count” would be deceptive.


October 2005

 

Temafa Joins Dilo Group

Germany-based Dilo System Group has
acquired a majority interest in Temafa Maschinenfabrik GmbH, also based in Germany. Temafa will
continue to operate as an independent company under the Dilo Group umbrella.

Dilo expects Temafa’s machinery program for natural fiber processing, including fiber
extraction plants, will allow it to take advantage of opportunities to offer complete lines for
natural fiber nonwovens, especially for the automotive sector. Dilo anticipates demand for such
products will grow as a result of rising oil prices and the increasing importance of ecological
considerations.

October 2005

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