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Cotton Outlook Forecasts 2014-15 Surplus Of More Than 2 Million Metric Tons

BIRKENHEAD, England — August 22, 2014 — During the past month, changes have been made to Cotton Outlook's 2014-15 production forecasts for a number of countries. The net result has been an increase in the global figure of no less than 440,000 metric tons, to 25,863,000 metric tons, thus raising the prospective world output above the volume produced in 2013-14.

Increases for major producers in the Northern Hemisphere (United States, India, Pakistan and China) mostly reflect positive weather developments, and have more than offset the reduction of forecasts for Southern Hemisphere producers such as Brazil, where plantings are likely to fall in response to the recent decline in world prices; and Australia, where the availability of water for irrigation is an issue.

The estimate of world consumption in 2014-15 has been reduced, mainly as a result of a downward adjustment for China.

The net result is an anticipated surplus of production over consumption in excess of 2.1 million metric tons, against just over 1.5 million metric tons projected a month ago.

Posted August 26, 2014

Source: Cotton Outlook