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The Rupp Report

The Rupp Report: Confirmed Yarn And Fabric Production Trends

As the Rupp Report has reported during the past weeks, mainly from ITMA 2011 in Barcelona, Spain, the international textile community is enjoying a positive time. Reports with opinion and market leaders show some solid positive trends for the year to come — and for the past six months. The Rupp Report recently received the latest news from the Switzerland-based International Textile Manufacturers Federation (ITMF) regarding yarn and fabric production for the third and fourth quarters of 2011. These figures illustrate an optimistic trend toward ongoing confidence in the business.

Increased Yarn Production

The report states: “In comparison with the previous quarter, world yarn production increased in the 3rd quarter of 2011 by +2.5 percent. South America and Asia recorded increases of +9.2 percent and +2.7 percent, respectively.” On the other hand, “North America and Europe recorded decreases of -4.9 percent and -4.8 percent, respectively. Year-on-year global yarn production rose slightly by +1.1 percent due to higher output in Asia by +1.6 percent, and despite lower output levels in North America (-8.5 percent), South America (-7.5 percent) and Europe (-2.6 percent).”

Increased Fabric Production

The same comment is given for global fabric production: “Compared with the previous quarter global fabric production increased in the 3rd quarter of 2011 by +5.9 percent. Fabric production rose by +7.5 percent in Asia and by +3.1 percent in South America, but fell in Europe by -8.7 percent. In comparison to last year’s 3rd quarter global fabric production was down by -2.3 percent. Looking at the various regions only South America recorded an increase (+4.6 percent), while in Europe, Asia and North America fabric production was reduced by -4.9 percent, -2.6 percent and -2.4 percent, respectively.”

Decreased Yarn Stocks
In contrast, ITMF reports: “Global yarn stocks dropped in the 3rd quarter of 2011 compared with the previous one which was especially due to lower stocks in South America and Asia, while stocks in Europe and North America remained practically unchanged.” This fact was certainly an effect of the volatile cotton prices. The Rupp Report has informed its readers in the past months about the ups and downs of the cotton prices.

Higher Yarn …
However, “Year-on-year global yarn inventories increased as a result of higher stocks in Asia and in spite [of] a drop in South America. … Yarn inventories dropped worldwide by -11.4 percent in the 3rd quarter of 2011 compared to the previous one. In South America and Asia they fell by -20.6 percent and -14.8 percent, respectively, but remained almost unchanged in Europe and North America. On an annual basis global yarn stocks were up by +2.0 percent. In South America yarn inventories fell by -9.5 percent, but rose in Asia and Europe by +4.8 percent and +0.3 percent, respectively.”

… And Fabric Inventories
“Global fabric inventories rose in the 3rd quarter of 2011 by +4.4 percent as compared to the previous one. In South America they jumped by +14.9 percent and also increased in North America by +4.0 percent, in Asia by +0.6 percent and in Europe by +0.5 percent. In comparison to last year’s 3rd quarter, the global fabric inventories increased by +15.7 percent. In South America they soared by +64.0 percent and also rose by +12.3 percent in North America, by +4.1 percent in Asia and by +0.7 percent in Europe.”

Lower Order Income

The report adds: “Yarn and fabric orders fell in Europe both compared to the previous and last year’s quarter. … [The] orders in Europe were slightly down by -0.4 percent and -1.5 percent, respectively, in the 3rd quarter of 2011 compared to the previous one. Year-on-year yarn and fabric orders in Europe decreased slightly by -0.1 percent and -1.5 percent, respectively. In Brazil yarn and fabric orders jumped compared to the previous quarter by +23.5 percent and +15.7 percent, respectively. On an annual basis yarn and fabric orders were down in Brazil by -19.9 percent and -10.0 percent, respectively.”

Different Expectations For The Future

The ITMF report comments that “The estimates for yarn and fabric production in the 4th quarter of 2011 in most countries are mixed. While the majority of producers in Asia are expecting increases, those in Europe (with the exception of Turkey), North and South America are more sceptical expecting lower output levels.”

Well, after all, the response over the last few weeks from machinery suppliers wasn’t that pessimistic about this coming year. Many of them expressed their feelings that they are expecting a prosperous 2012 that should be at least as good as 2011.

February 21, 2012

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