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The Rupp Report

The Rupp Report: Accelerated Decline Of Global Yarn And Fabric Output

Jürg Rupp, Executive Editor

According to the latest State of Trade Report from the Switzerland-based International Textile Manufacturers Federation (ITMF), in the 1st quarter of 2009, an accelerated decline in global textile production was observed. Both global yarn and fabric production dropped as a result of lower output levels in all regions.

Dropping Yarn Stocks ...
Global yarn inventories fell for the first time since second quarter 2008, but there was a slight increase on global fabric stocks. Yarn and fabric orders decreased in Europe, but remained unchanged in Brazil.

First-quarter world yarn production plummeted by 14.4 percent, compared to the previous quarter, with lower production levels reported in all regions, including South America, down 26.8 percent; Asia, down 14.5 percent; Europe, down 8.5 percent; and North America, down 6.3 percent.

On an annual basis, global yarn production was down 4.3 percent with all regions recording declines: North America, down 30.6 percent; Europe, a decline of 24.1 percent; South America, down 20.6 percent; and Asia, down 1.6 percent.

... And Fabric Production, Too
Fabric production shrank worldwide by 8.3 percent in comparison with fourth quarter 2008. European output dropped by 13.8 percent; Asian, by 8.4 percent; and North America, 6.9 percent. South American output remained unchanged. In comparison to last year, North America and Europe recorded significantly lower output levels, reporting declines of 32.9 percent and 24.9 percent, respectively. South American and Asian production was somewhat higher, at 5.2 percent and 2.3 percent, respectively.

Yarn Inventories
First-quarter 2009 global yarn inventories dropped by 1.5 percent, compared to the previous quarter, reflecting 2.9-percent and 0.5-percent lower stocks, respectively, in Asia and Europe, and despite 8.8-percent higher stocks in South America. Year-on-year global yarn stocks fell by 1.7 percent, with regional declines in South America of 6.3 percent and in Asia  of 2.3 percent, whereas European yarn inventories increased by 0.5 percent.

Fabric Inventories
On the other hand, the level of fabric inventories increased worldwide by 1.1 percent, with Asia recording an gain of 2.2 percent and Europe, 0.5 percent. However, North American fabric stocks fell by 2.6 percent, and South America's fabric inventory remained unchanged. On an annual basis, global fabric stocks fell sharply by 22.8 percent, mainly reflecting a fall of 34.3 percent for Asian fabric stocks. During the same time frame, fabric stocks were down by 6 percent in North America and 1.1 percent in Europe.

Order Decrease
First-quarter 2009 yarn and fabric orders dropped by 3.6 percent and 7.8 percent, respectively, in Europe, compared to the previous quarter; but remained unchanged in Brazil. Year-on-year yarn and fabric orders in Europe dropped by  18.5 percent and 17.9 percent, respectively. In Brazil, yarn orders were down by 8.3 percent, but fabric orders were up by 6.4 percent.

Source: ITMF

August 11, 2009